Special Report on the Proposed Ministers for the Orban Cabinet
Ludovic Orban is a career politician, currently President of the National Liberal Party (PNL). As the Minister of Transport from April 2007 to December 2008, during the Tăriceanu government, he made available 72km of highway and has signed infrastructure programs of more than RON 3,3 billion. He was embroiled in several scandals, on of which was linked to corruption. He was acquited in 2017 by  the High Court of Cassation and Justice, and the DNA plea to restart the trial was rejected by the 5-judge committee in 2018. He is a supporter of several controversial labor reforms, among which reintroducing the income tax for the IT sector.  In the past few weeks Ludovic Orban has tried to gain the support of the other opposition parties to ensure the validation of his cabinet in the Parliament. While he succeeded in gaining the support of USR, ALDE and UDMR by making compromises, Orban did not convince Pro-Romania to vote in its favor. Moreover, PMP remains undecided, with Eugen Tomac stating that a decision will be made within PMP. Orban claimed that he will continue the negotiations with other political parties, including PSD trying to secure a parliamentarian majority, but the situation is not in inclined in his favor. We believe that Ludovic Orban will have a hard time trying to pass the vote of confidence in the Parliament and that President Klaus Iohannis will have to make another proposition. Today, Orban will submit the list of ministers and the Governing Program in the Parliament and the hearing of the ministers will begin next week.


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Special Report on the Vote of No-Confidence
On October 9th, the Parliament voted in favor of a censure motion against the Government led by PSD President Viorica Dăncilă. While the Dăncilă cabinet remains as an interim Government, it is now time for President Klaus Iohannis to decide on a future Prime-Minister. The President has already called on all parliamentary parties to come to Cotroceni on October 10th for consultations before coming forward with a new proposition for the Prime-Minister position. Given that there are some urgent situations that need to be resolved by a functioning Government (naming a third Romanian for the position of European Commissioner, adopting the second budgetary rectification and drafting the budget for the next year) we expect that Iohannis will make nominations as soon as possible. While, in theory, Iohannis can wait until after the presidential elections to make a nomination, he needs to be pro-active to appeal to his electorate. After actively criticizing this Cabinet for the past three years, Iohannis cannot afford to stand idly by while Dăncilă holds the interim Government for another month.


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Special Report on the new Prime-Minister (Ludovic Orban)
President Klaus Iohannis hosted a press conference on October 15th, after having discussed with all parties which are members of the Parliament. Iohannis proposed PNL leader Ludovic Orban for the position of Prime-Minister. Ludovic Orban already stated that PNL will have discussions with all political parties to gain their support for his future Government when it will come in the Parliament.


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WEEKLY FISCAL AND POLITICAL REPORT October 4th – 14th, 2019
Two EU Commissioner proposals by the Government seem to have been rejected so far by Ursula von der Leyen, leaving the Romanian spot in the Commission yet unfulfilled. While the Government was expected to wait for an official decision in the case of Dan Nica, due to the vote of no confidence having passed it is now more likely that the EU Commissioner seat will be taken by the candidate the new Government will propose. Sources in PNL have stated that the proposals for the seat will be Siegfried Mureșan and Adina Vălean.


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WEEKLY FISCAL AND POLITICAL REPORT, September 30 - October 6, 2019
The no-confidence motion against the government was formally tabled in Parliament. 237 parliamentarians signed in support of it (EN). This week, two other PSD MPs announced also their departure to the Pro Romania party. It can be considered that at this moment approximately 240 parliamentarians support the adoption of the motion. The minimum number of votes required for its adoption is 233. The vote of the censure motion will take place on Thursday, October 10th.


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